LIU Brooklyn MBB final game NEC Tournament seeding scenarios

Last night, LIU Brooklyn defeated Central Connecticut, 80-74, at go to 9-8 on the season in the Northeast Conference with one more game remaining tomorrow against Bryant at the Steinberg Wellness Center.

Like I mentioned in the game recap from last night, the NEC this morning put out updated seeding scenarios for all eight teams including LIU Brooklyn. Here is a nifty, easy-to-use chart put together by NEC Associate Commissioner Ron Ratner after last night’s contests:

Chart courtesy of Northeast Conference/Ron Ratner

Chart courtesy of Northeast Conference/Ron Ratner

So here is what LIU Brooklyn has in store for them scenario-wise:

  • With FDU and St. Francis Brooklyn winning their games Thursday night, LIU Brooklyn can now do no better than a 5-seed, meaning they have no chance at getting a quarterfinal round home game and likely not seeing another home game this season after Saturday unless they are upsets galore.
  • LIU Brooklyn can become the 5-seed by winning their game against Bryant Saturday and Saint Francis U. losing their game at Sacred Heart. LIU has a 25% probability of being a 5-seed under this scenario.
  • If LIU wins but SFU beats Sacred Heart, the best LIU can become is a 6-seed which is where they are currently at heading into Saturday’s regular season finale. LIU has a 37.5% probability of staying as 6-seed.
  • If LIU loses to Bryant, the best they can hope for is a 7-seed and they will need Robert Morris to also lose to Wagner. Note: Wagner clinched the 1-seed by defeating SFU on Thursday and has nothing to play for Saturday. LIU has a 12.5% probability of landing 7th.
  • If LIU loses and RMU wins, LIU becomes the 8-seed and will play Wagner Wednesday night at the Spiro Sports Center on Staten Island. LIU has a 25% probability of finishing with the 8-seed.

Other NEC team scenarios:

1-seed: As I mentioned, has been clinched by Wagner. Their game vs RMU at home Saturday means zero for them and everything for RMU.

2-seed through 4-seed: St. Francis Brooklyn, Fairleigh Dickinson, Sacred Heart and Mount St. Mary’s still has a shot at the 2-seed. Mount St. Mary’s have to play at St. Francis Brooklyn in the season finale. The winner will finish with at least a 3-seed. Also, SFU plays at Sacred Heart and FDU heads to CCSU for Howie Dickenman’s final game as CCSU head coach. One of these four teams will get knocked out of a quarterfinal home game.

5-seed: SFU get it with a win. An SFU loss opens the door for LIU as I mentioned. An LIU loss opens the door for the loser of MSM-SFBK.

6-seed: LIU has the inside track here as mentioned, Sacred Heart, Mount St. Mary’s and Sacred Heart could also fall here with losses on Saturday.

7-seed: If SFU losses, this is where they will land. If not, this could Sacred Heart’s, LIU’s or Robert Morris’ landing spot.

8-seed: If LIU wins, Robert Morris gets the 8-seed. RMU needs an LIU loss plus a victory against Wagner to get a 7-seed which is the best they can do.

Got all that. Ok, good. By Saturday evening, the NEC tournament will be all set and the matchups for Wednesday night’s quarterfinal games will be announced.

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